Deprecated: preg_split(): Passing null to parameter #3 ($limit) of type int is deprecated in /home1/portfol1/public_html/wp/wp-content/plugins/add-meta-tags/metadata/amt_basic.php on line 118
Test of Moving Average | Portfolio Yoga

Test of Moving Average

by Prashanth Krish · 30th May 2014

A interesting use of Moving Averages is in Mean Reversion. While many trend followers swear by a Moving Average (or Moving Average Crossover), its interesting that the same can also be used for a Mean Reversion strategy (not that I would recommend doing that).

This pic from Wikipedia showcases the same

We can measure a trend in various ways. One way would be to see the number of times it retraces to its moving average before continuing with its previous trend. Based on that though, here are the charts on the number of times Nifty has come back to the moving average.

All data for 2014 is till date (30th May)

10 Day Moving Average

20 Day Moving Average

50 Day Moving Average

100 Day Moving Average

200 Day Moving Average

Based on just a overall view, the data above supports the fact that trend following has been pretty positive this year compared to say 2013. But shall it remain with low volatility and not too may dips remain to be seen

You may also like:

Tags: Moving Average nifty Statistics

You may also like...

Leave a ReplyCancel reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Reminiscences of the Past 22nd June 2023
When I first came into the Industry, I wasn’t sure of what I wanted to become. Within a year or two though, I knew that I wanted to be a stockbroker. The reason – money. I could see good brokerage firms earning a lakh or more per month. This at regional stock exchanges. Brokers of […]
Prashanth Krish
External Validations 20th June 2023
Something I have observed and one I wonder if the one thing that is unique to the stock markets is the need for external validation. If you ask a small businessman how business is, more times than not, he will have a list of complaints and how it’s getting tougher. An investor / trader on […]
Prashanth Krish
Symmetry in Thinking 17th June 2023
When I first started going to the stock brokers office, my idea of investing was closer to value investing. But at the brokers office, all I encountered were people who were trading. In due course of time, that is where I ended up as well. Trading regardless of whether you are profitable or not can […]
Prashanth Krish
70 Experts Share the Most Important Lesson 2nd June 2023
When podcasts first got started, it was interesting to hear. Great investors we knew about only in books or articles came to talk about a variety of things. Learning became interesting. Today, we are overwhelmed by content, and this includes podcasts. On any given day, I assume there are hundreds of new podcasts that are […]
Prashanth Krish
A deep dive into The Zurich Axioms 24th February 2023
Many years ago, someone had recommended The Zurich Axioms by Max Gunther and I remember reading it though I doubt I took home any lessons. Recently I got a physical copy and decided to read it once again. Much water has flown since my last read and while I doubt it has influenced me, experience […]
Prashanth Krish
The True Contrarian Strategy – Momentum 12th February 2023
Contrarian investing is described as buying when no one wants to buy and selling when no one wants to sell. Much of value investing in many ways is contrarian investing. In the book, Contrarian Investing, the Authors say that any stock that fulfills 2 out of the following 4 criteria can be considered as a […]
Prashanth Krish
The Itch 3rd February 2023
So, there I was yesterday sitting at a hotel waiting for friends to arrive. One good thing about waiting these days is that you no longer are bored because there is always something on social media to read about. I on the other hand was checking not social media but Kite (Zerodha App) to see […]
Prashanth Krish